About 21 percent of roughly 1,300 people in New York City who were tested for coronavirus antibodies this week tested positive, Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo said on Thursday.
The results come from a state program that randomly tested 3,000 supermarket customers across New York State. Nearly 14 percent of those tests came back positive, Mr. Cuomo said.
If those numbers translate to the true incidence of coronavirus, they would mean that more than 1.7 million people in New York City, and more than 2.6 million people statewide, have already been infected...They would also mean that the fatality rate from the virus is relatively low — about 0.5 percent, Mr. Cuomo said.In other words, it is a very bad flu, that is all, and all the lockdowns and other drama shouldn't have even occurred in hot spots like New York City.
The big question remains: Why weren't some type of general population tests (even if it was swabbing) done earlier?
It would have eased the panic.
I was calling for such in March and I called out at the start of this month data on an approximation of the general population that wasn't being released: The COVID-19 Testing Cover-Up?
Trump's top medical advisor Tony Fauci is a psychopath. He should be fired by Trump and remembered for eternity as a very sick bastard.
-RW
One of the idiot panic sites reacted to the news of so many undetected cases as "OMG it's WORSE than we thought!!" rather than of course, the great news that the denominator got bigger. Sheeesh, "journalists" haha
ReplyDeleteBased on the 0.5% death rate at what should have been the height of the C-19 season, unless Lockdown-20 has slowed immunity and we get another big hit, C-19 death rate is much lower than a bad flu season.
ReplyDeleteWe also need to remember their instructions on how to report deaths has increased the reported deaths for C-19.
From https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/season/flu-season-2017-2018.htm:
The 2017-2018 influenza season was a high severity season…
During the 2017-2018 season, the percentage of deaths attributed to pneumonia and influenza (P&I) was at or above the epidemic threshold for 16 consecutive weeks. During the past five seasons, the average number of weeks this indicator was above threshold was 11 (range of 7 to 15 weeks). Nationally, mortality attributed to P&I exceeded 10.0% for four consecutive weeks, peaking at 10.8% during the week ending January 20, 2018.
From https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html?CDC_AA_refVal=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.cdc.gov%2Fflu%2Fabout%2Fdisease%2Fus_flu-related_deaths.htm:
2017-18
Symptomatic Illnesses: 45,000,000
Deaths: 61,000
Death Rate: 0.136%
2010 thru 2019
Symptomatic Illnesses: 257,820,883
Deaths: 337,157
Death Rate: 0.131%
Thank you for posting this.
ReplyDeleteThe mortality rate is even less than that, if we consider that they are casting a very wide net in including too many deaths as Covid-19 death. Many of these people had comorbidities that would have made them vulnerable even to the regular flu, pneumonia, and the like. In fact, I've seen statistics showing that flu and pneumonia deaths are drastically down this year---the implication being that such deaths are being counted as Covid-19 deaths.
ReplyDeleteAt any rate, what is good news to libertarians and more logical people, will be bad news to all the scaremongers out there: "OMG, 21% of the people out there are already infected, and there's no telling who has and has not gotten it! We need to clamp-down even harder!"