Washington Post: Trump Seeing Signs of Life in Key Swing States

Five new polls came out on Thursday from four critical battleground states: Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. (North Carolina was polled twice.) Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania were all polled by the same outfit a month ago, during the peak of Hillary Clinton's recent national poll numbers. By comparing the new polls in those states with the old ones, we can get a sense for what changed — and what trends may be underlying the numbers, writes Philip Bump at The Washington Post.

Bump informs:

The new Florida poll takes Clinton from a decent lead to a near-tie. This is absolutely critical for Trump; he essentially can't win the presidency without winning the state...

In North Carolina, Clinton maintains a slight lead...

Ohio looks like Florida: Clinton's once healthy lead is now a small one....

Clinton's once giant lead in Virginia is now a decent-sized lead in Virginia...

In Pennsylvania, Trump's promise to outperform past Republicans in the state is sort of coming true: Clinton still has a big, big lead, but Obama's lead at this point was bigger. Clinton's lead is also still bigger than Obama's margin of victory four years ago, but at least Trump can say that he's doing better than Romney ...

In Wisconsin, Clinton's lead looks like her one in Virginia: a big shift toward Trump but still a big lead...

 Trump has to win Ohio or (well, probably and) Florida..

-RW