Sunday, September 6, 2015

Donald Trump Doesn’t Need Latino Voters to Win

In an essay appearing at WaPo, that unfortunately provides foundational empirical support for the observations made by Dominick Armentano and Thomas Sowell on the state of economic understanding in the country, Bruce Bartlett, correctly cranks out the numbers that show that black hatred of Hispanics, could be the pathway by which Trump captures the White House throne.

Bartlett writes, between his bouts of economic gibberish that support ethnic hate:
[I]f Trump could replace Latino votes with those of another large minority group that traditionally votes Democratic, he might have a fighting chance at victory. And even without changing his message, black voters could be that group.

African Americans have long been receptive to the anti-immigrant concepts behind Trump’s campaign..

Economically, the division is beyond doubt, and Trump could exploit it if he chose to. According to the Census Bureau, the incomes of black households have long been considerably lower than the incomes of Hispanic households. In 2013, the former had a median income of $34,598, while the latter had a median income of $40,963, a difference of nearly 20 percent...

 Gallup found that 49 percent of African Americans think immigration worsens the availability of job opportunities for them, compared with 34 percent of non-Hispanic whites. A New American Media poll found that 51 percent of African Americans believe that Latinos are taking away jobs, housing and political power from the black community. In a 2012 Pew Research Center poll, 61 percent of blacks agreed that “the growing number of newcomers threaten traditional American values,” vs. 48 percent of whites...

Translating potential black support for anti-immigration policy into votes for Trump would not be easy. Black voters overwhelmingly pick Democrats in presidential elections. On the other hand, Republicans have not seriously competed for African American votes since 1960, when Richard Nixon received one-third of the black vote.

Tellingly, the only Republican to take an anti-immigrant message directly to the black community in recent years received a positive reception. Tom Tancredo, then a U.S. Representative from Colorado, addressed the NAACP’s national convention in 2007, the only member of the GOP to do so. During his speech, he received warm applause when he quoted a black woman who told him, “I always knew something would bring us together. Who knew it would be our common language?”...

[F]or the moment, Trump’s high unfavorable ratings among black respondents — more than eight in 10 disapprove — are indistinguishable from his numbers among Hispanics, according to a recent Washington Post-ABC News poll. But immigration gives Trump entrée to African Americans with an issue that will resonate with many and at least give him a hearing. An aggressive effort by him to court black voters could change the political dynamics and hit Democrats where they least expect it.

  -RW

5 comments:

  1. RW you are on the scene out there and should investigate, but from what I read in many places out in Cali, like Compton, Blacks are being forced out by Latino gangs.

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  2. I find it amusing (in a weird way) how immigration has brought together to unlikely bedfellows; paleoconservative whites and liberal blacks (in a way how the Ukrainian Anarchists and the Bolsheviks joined forces in the Russian Civil War). While both groups openly hate each other they'll "unite" to fight a joint a group that they both hate.

    Bartlett isn't wrong, despite the common perception. black groups such as Nation of Islam for example will use the same rhetoric against hispanics that one would think would be coming from groups such as Numbers USA, the Coalition of Conservative citizens and neoreactionaries for example.

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    1. It would be amusing if Trump's candidacy ends up being this biggest political troll job in recent history but who knows.

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  3. The easiest way to spot a loser in America is to listen for whining about immigration.

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    1. "The easiest way to spot a loser in America is to listen for whining about people who are rightly concerned with illegal immigration."

      Fixed.

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