Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Shocking Commentary From Polling Organization About Rand Paul

My long time favorite polling outfit, Public Policy Polling, is out with their latest results on polling in New Hampshire.

They report that Donald Trump leads the Republican field with 35% of the vote to 11% for John Kasich, 10% for Carly Fiorina, 7% each for Jeb Bush and Scott Walker, 6% for Ben Carson.

But the shocker is the commentary they include with the Rand Paul results (my bold):
Three other candidates who’ve seen dramatic decreases in their support are Cruz, Huckabee, and Paul. Cruz’s 10 point drop from 14% to 4% is a little bit misleading. When we last polled the state he was still enjoying the bump he received following his candidacy announcement. It’s worse news for Paul- he’s declined 8 points from 12% to 4% but more notably he’s seen a major blow to his image. In April he had a +29 net favorability rating at 54/25. That’s now dropped a remarkable 44 points to a -15 spread at 34/49. We’ve found Paul under water all four places we’ve polled since the Republican debate. 
Rand is in a very difficult spot. As Fritz Wenzel pointed out in April before Trump even officially entered the race, Trump was going to take voters away from Rand--and that has happened big time.

Further, as I have noted, Rand doesn't have the personality to go up against Trump. He tried it during the first debate and it was a failure.

So Rand has Trump taking away his votes and no effective way to counter it. I have some thoughts on what Rand might be able to do, but Team Rand hasn't contacted me, yet.

 -RW

1 comment:

  1. "I have some thoughts on what Rand might be able to do, but Team Rand hasn't contacted me, yet."

    Of course not. Their pride is too great to contact those of us who have been right. I doubt Rand's camp ever considers, for even a moment, maybe they should listen to those of us who were right instead of political hacks like Jack Hunter and Michael Rothfeld.

    I mean after all, it isn't like we called exactly what would happen 3 years ago. Naw, we don't understand politics Robert. We're just purists.

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