Election Prediction
By Victor Ward
People always predict. I wonder how much prediction would happen if the biblical sanction of death for the false prophet was issued for today’s erroneous prognosticators.
But, since there are no negative sanctions except a little egg on the face, but possibly lifelong bragging rights, I figured I would give my analysis and prediction for the 2020 election.
First, my reasoning: In 2016, 65.8 million people voted for Hillary Clinton. In 2012, 65.9 million people voted for Barack Obama. In 2008, 69.5 million people voted for Obama.
2008 was interesting: People actually believed the lie and thought that Obama was special. Plus, they were sick of George Bush, there was a global recession, and John McCain was, well, John McCain. From a political perspective, McCain had nothing going for him except that the neocons loved him. But, the neocons also probably knew they had a good young Turk in Obama.
Both Obama and McCain were puppets of George Soros, so when the marionettist says to dance, you start dancing.
Obama got about 54% of the votes in 2008. There is no way that Biden is getting close to that. People loved Obama. People are unaffected by Biden.
People also loved Hillary. Sure, there were a whole lot of people that called her the Hilde-Beast, but people were passionate to see a woman become President.
And no one doubted Clinton’s intellectual ability. She could lie and steal and kill with the best of them.
Biden has never been the sharpest knife in the drawer, and his dullness has exacerbated in his senior years.
I’m not trying to insult the Vice President. I was on the lower end in my law school, and I mean low, low, low end. But a spade is a spade; the guys is not lucid.
Clinton best Trump by about 3 million votes, but she only won 20 states.
Is Joe Biden more inspirational than 2008 Obama or 2012 Obama or 2016 Clinton? Is Joe Biden more inspirational than the dead bull, Bodacious? (That’s who I voted for.)
Joe Biden inspires no one.
People are inspired by their hatred for Trump more so than their love for Biden.
People really, really, really hate Trump.
But, since he got the nomination in 2016, people started hating him. People hated him because of his supposed racism.
Nevertheless, Trump got 62 million votes in 2016.
I don’t see the hatred for Trump growing in the black community. On the contrary, if there is growth, it is the growth in the number of black people who support Trump.
I think the same is true for the Hispanic community.
Both black and brown people, traditionally, enjoy family — traditional family. Blacks and Hispanics are pro-life and pro-church. They are not feeling transgenderism or the LGBTQ movement.
What about Asians? What Asian person wants to see the continued rise of Cultural Race Theory?
What about Jews? Have Jews been paying attention to what is happening in New York?
There is not one group of people that I can think of that would experience a sizable shift away from Trump because of the group’s recent discovery of Trump’s fictional racism.
But, I can see plenty of people in those groups moving towards Trump. Some out of love; some out of pure terror of the Left.
My prediction: Biden wins: California, Oregon, Washington, and Minnesota. (If Mondale can carry Minnesota, Biden has a shot.)
Trump wins everything else, securing a massive electoral college victory.
Victor J. Ward first came across libertarianism by reading Murray Rothbard's Ronald Reagan: An Autopsy and Walter Block's Defending the Undefendable. He holds a law degree from the University of California, Hastings College of the Law and an MBA from Santa Clara University.
Trump wins everything else? I assume he means swing states and not all states?
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