By Robert Wenzel
I spoke to pollster Fritz Wenzel (no relation) in early April. Back then, Donald Trump was not in the race, but he thought Trump would be strong (at least in New Hampshire) and trouble for Rand because Trump would be perceived as having an anti-establishment independent streak and boy was he right.
It was time for another call to get his latest take on Trump. What he had to say shocked me.
He said that the world is going to be completely different in 30 to 45 days. Trump is going to be completely redefined. He said that the focus will be on the bankruptcies of Trump firms, Trump's marriages and his womanizing.
I said to him, "Won't this stuff just roll off of Trump just like it has to date?" He said, "no" that people will start looking at the candidates more closely and most don't know anything about Trump other than his provocative statements. That will change he said. He said he had seen some of the opposition research that will come out. He singled out the January 14 debate as a date by which it will be clear things have changed.
I asked him about the womanizing he mentioned. He said it was pre-Ivana and he was a single guy but "it will put Bill Clinton's antics to shame." He said back then Trump was in the New York Post on Page Six every day.
I asked him how this information was going to come out, He said via SuperPACs, not associated with any candidate. He said it could be very heavy ad spending.
So there you have, Fritz seemed pretty confident in his view. Will he prove correct or will Trump prove another prognosticator wrong? We will know soon enough.
Given his take on Trump, I asked him who he thought would emerge as the Republican nominee. He said Jeb Bush couldn't be ruled out but he said it was hard to imagine he could stage a comeback. He named Cruz, Rubio, Fiorina and Kasich as possibilities.
He said Christie will fade after New Hampshire.