Wednesday, August 5, 2015
BRUTAL The Decline of Rand Paul’s Campaign (In One Graph)
John Sides writes at WaPo:
Lately, the news for Sen. Rand Paul’s (R-Ky.) presidential campaign hasn’t been good. Which is remarkable in itself, because, well, there just hasn’t been much news about Paul’s campaign at all.
Earlier, I reported on media coverage of the candidates using social analytic tools provided by Crimson Hexagon. These tools are devised to gather and reveal the volume and tone of media coverage on major news sites. UCLA political scientist Lynn Vavreck and I are analyzing this news coverage as part of our work on the 2016 election.
Below is an update of the same graph through July 27.
There are two notable trends. One is the familiar increase in coverage of Trump, which I wrote about here. Indeed, if anything, coverage of Trump has increased since I wrote that post two weeks ago.
The other is the striking decline in coverage of Paul. No other candidate has seen that sort of decline. Even if we discount the spike in coverage surrounding Paul’s effort to strike certain data-gathering provisions from Patriot Act, Paul’s news coverage has collapsed.
And given how much news coverage can affect primary candidates’ poll numbers, it’s not surprising that Paul’s poll numbers have dropped as well.
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