Friday, November 6, 2020

A Political Mystery

Matt Taibbi writes in his private letter:

Some 26 percent of [Trump's] votes came from nonwhite Americans, the highest percentage for a Republican since 1960. The politician who became instantly famous — and infamous — by saying of Mexican immigrants, “They’re bringing drugs, they’re bringing crime, they’re rapists,” performed stunningly well with Latino voters.

Exit polls, which can be unreliable, pegged his national support at 32%-35% of the Latino vote. More tellingly were results in certain counties. Starr County, Texas, the county with the highest percentage of Hispanic or Latino voters — above 95% — voted for Hillary Clinton by a 60-point margin in 2016, but gave Biden just a five point win in 2020.

Even more amazing was Trump’s performance among Black voters. The man whose 2016 message to “the blacks” was very nearly a parody of long-ago New York mayoral candidate Mario Procaccino’s pledge that “My heart is as black as yours” must have found a new way to connect. Trump doubled his support with Black women, moving from 4% in 2016 to 8%, while upping his support among Black men from 13% to 18%. Remember, this was after four years of near-constant denunciations of Trump as not just a racist, but the leader of a literal white supremacist movement:

Trump’s numbers with the LGBTQ community were a stunner also, jumping from 14% to 28%. In September, a dating app for queer men called Hornet ran a survey that showed 45% support for Trump among gay men. Ever since Trump jumped into politics, media observers have rushed to denounce any Trump-related data that conflicts with conventional wisdom, and the Hornet survey was no different. Out magazine quoted a communications professor from Cal Poly Pomona as saying, “To tout a Hornet poll as evidence of LGBTQ support for Trump is clickbaity, sloppy journalism.” Even the Hornet editor scoffed at his own poll, before it all turned out to be true in the election.

I get the move towards Trump from the black and Latino voters. Hell, I have been writing about the Republican opportunity with Hispanic voters for years.

But the jump in Trump's performance with the LGBTQ community is a mystery to me. 

Why the movement? 

If anyone has insight into why the move in Trump's direction from the LGBTQ crowd, please leave a comment below with what you know.(I have enabled anonymous comments for this post.)



  1. Don't know, Robert. You might consider the following opinion piece:

    Why Trump is the most pro-gay president in U.S. history | Opinion

  2. Because a lot of people can see through the Democrat media's lies and can see that Trump's primary concern is to re-introduce nationalism, which means jobs. This includes the gays.

    The mainstream (and globalist) media deliberately misinterpret nationalism as meaning white supremacy, but Trump is a civnat and that means bringing home the jobs which were off-shored under NAFTA.

  3. Everything the Dems did this year pushed people to Trump. They had me so angry I actually registered with the intent to vote for him. Rudy’s cigar commercial during his most important post ever woke me up from my trance.

  4. It would be interesting to know where in that community the support came from.

  5. It would be interesting to know where in LGBTQ community that support camefrom.

  6. Relatively speaking, Trump's past has been socially liberal for some time. It's often forgotten he briefly dated a black women, hung out with the Clintons from time to time and traveled in liberal social circles.

    Of course, his ownership in a couple of the major beauty pageants put him somewhat in that LGBTQ circle as well. He's not a hater of that crowd.

    So among that subset of LGBTQ people, I'm sure some of them are fiscally concerned even though Trump, like Reagan, blew out the budgets. They fell for the rhetoric even though Trump has proven himself thoroughly a Keynesian. Kind like the old school Log Cabin Republicans in a way.(though a quick check of their site reveals they now include the LGBTQ crowd)

    That's my humble and anonymous opinion. (even though we know you could guess who I am by my IP) ;-)

  7. Maybe it's not that they support Trump, but could see how bad Biden/Harris are. Trump hasn't started any new major wars, he spoke of getting the country back to work vs being locked down, he has said he doesn't think he'd force a coronavirus vaccine on the country, he hasn't tried to force a nation wide mask mandate... Most of those positions are in complete opposite of Biden/Harris. I would also think that many minority/protected groups are beginning feel taken for granted by the left and see the lefts true colors: they don't care about the little guy or the oppressed, but only in gaining more and more power for the state and their dirty dealings.

    1. Damn, it's almost like Trump is some sort of closet libertarian wacko or something.

  8. The idea that Trump is anti-LGBT has always struck me as the most baseless claim against him. I see no origin of it. At least with the xenophobe/racist stuff there is the immigration issue to springboard their hallucination. I suppose in the prog mind racism and homophobia go hand in hand.

    The woke culture has been turning against gay men ever since the gay marriage debate ended. All the sudden they are just men. Worse if they are white men but the woke cult is also critical of black men these days.

    Dave Rubin is a prominent gay Trump voter. But as far as I know every gay person I know personally is against Trump. I know two wealthy gay DC beltway dwellers who have the worst Trump Derangement Syndrome I've seen outside of the cooperate press. So I'd be curious to see how that Trump support shakes out within specific demographics in the gay community.

    1. I spoke with some friends last weekend about it. They didn't believe that Trump was anti-gay, but expressed concern about lower level Republican representatives.

  9. Trump welcomed us into the party. A lot of us vote republican based on our values and policy preferences but have never felt welcome by party leadership. Trump made our sexuality irrelevant by simply seeing us and welcoming us as Americans. President Trump essentially made it socially okay for gays to vote Republican and sincerely believing that they were welcome in the party by the leader of the party.

  10. What would you do to combat antigay prejudice?

    I like the idea of amending the 1964 Civil Rights Act to include a ban of discrimination based on sexual orientation. It would be simple. It would be straightforward. We don’t need to rewrite the laws currently on the books, although I do think we need to address hate-crimes legislation. But amending the Civil Rights Act would grant the same protection to gay people that we give to other Americans — it’s only fair.