Thursday, March 26, 2020

Suicide Attempts Could Increase By 58,500 Per Month During the Lockdown



Fearmongers are building all kinds of models to predict doom from COVID-19 with barely any facts, so let's build our own model, about the lockdown, using facts.

The current lockdown is certainly a period of enormous stress on many people. I know of one mom and pop business near me that has already closed for good and the owner of a local convenience store tells me his business is down by 80%.

On top of this, we have enormous swaths of individuals on lockdown inside their homes and apartments without having in-person contact with others. This is certainly is not good for those on the stress edge. Tragically, Emily Owen, a 19-year-old, is one of the first to be confirmed dead because of a suicide attempt related to the lockdown.

It could be argued that this period may be more stressful than during the period of the 1929 stock market crash.

What happened in 1929 after the crash?

Between 1920–1928 the suicide rate was 12.1 per 100,000,

In 1929, it climbed to 18.1 per 100,000, which is approx. a 50% increase.

At present in the US, there are roughly 117,000 suicide attempts per month, if we assume the current pressures are in line with 1929 (they are probably worse), we could see monthly suicide attempts during the lockdown increase by 58,500 to  175,500.

Roughly, 47,000 people per year succeed in their suicide attempts. It is currently the 10th leading cause of death in the US, during the lockdown it could climb to the 8th leading cause of death in the United States.

This, of course, says nothing about the heart attacks and other diseases that will become more intense because of the stress of the personal and economic lockdown.

 -RW
.h

3 comments:

  1. more sad news https://www.newsweek.com/texas-hospital-says-death-two-preschoolers-could-linked-coronavirus-outbreak-1493810

    ReplyDelete
  2. Just like you can argue with stupid you cant make people want to live.

    ReplyDelete