Saturday, March 28, 2020

Harvard Law Prof's Confusion About Basic COVID-19 Testing

Laurence Tribe
Laurence Tribe, the Carl M. Loeb University Professor at the Harvard Law School of Harvard University, tweets:

You would think that a constitutional lawyer would be able to figure this out instead of embarrassing himself with the above tweet.

The answer, of course, is that the US is testing more people who are not critically ill. Thus many more less-lethal cases will be recorded, raising the denominator of the case fatality rate--reducing the mortality rate.

The one thing this panic is doing is revealing problems in basic thinking amongst the top legal thinkers (See: President Trump is Right Even If Richard Epstein is Wrong).



  1. What this epidemic has exposed is that most of US scientific ans legal "elite" are in fact overeducated fools who lack mental capacity to grasp basics of simple statistics and scientific thinking. Now, this explains why most of the much vaunted academic science is pure unadulterated junk - and why academia is full of mental midgets aka socialists.

  2. I've always figured that Laurence Tribe was a political hack anyway, so I take what he has to say with a grain of salt.

  3. Professor Tribe needs to consider:

    South Korea, with a 1.4% death rate (as of 03/26/20) probably has the most accurate data to date. SK has tested between 0.4% to 0.7% of their population.

    The USA has tested about the same percentage of their population as Italy about 0.1%. Italy has a death rate of 10%.

    Worldwide testing is about 0.04% of population based on the data I was able to find.

    Also, a cruise ship docked in Japan tested 100% of their passengers and crew and have about a 1% death rate. The ships average age was 58, and 33% were 70 and older.