Monday, October 7, 2019

The Inside Scoop on What Trump Thinks His Odds of Being Impeached Are

Axios reports:
Some prominent political analysts, including the New York Times' Ross Douthat, have speculated that the president might welcome articles of impeachment. Sources close to the president say this interpretation is dead wrong. Trump adamantly does not want to be impeached — because he cares, above all, about his legacy.
Behind the scenes:
 Many of Trump's advisers, both inside and out of the White House, have given him their unpleasant prediction that he will almost certainly be impeached by the House of Representatives. But they have also told him they believe there is almost no chance the Senate convicts him.
  • One person who spoke to Trump in the past 10 days said he seemed resistant to that prediction and said he thought he could stop Nancy Pelosi from getting the votes to impeach. The source said Trump seemed confident that he could pile enough pressure onto House Democrats in "Trump districts" (where he won in 2016 but Democrats took back in 2018) that those incumbents would cave on Pelosi.
  • But a second person who spoke to Trump in the last few days said the president "was not in denial" and understood that the House is probably going to impeach him.


  1. Trump Opinion at 12:00 - Up
    Trump Opinion at 13:00 - Down
    Trump Opinion at 14:00 - Up
    Trump Opinion at 15:00 - Down
    Trump Opinion at 16:00 - Up
    Trump Opinion at 17:00 - Down
    Trump Opinion at 18:00 - Up
    You see how this goes, eh?

  2. Shouldn’t he damn the torpedoes then and go all out on Biden? On all of them?

  3. If Trump is impeached then there needs to be a trial in the Senate, where Trump's team gets to ask questions. Wouldn't that open a whole can of worms for the Democrats? My prediction (for what it is worth, ie, nothing) is that the Democrats will not dare to impeach Trump.

  4. I've read that the only reason they have not yet voted to impeach Trump is because it would allow Trump to mount an offensive, demand discovery, interview/subpoena witnesses etc. Not sure of a validity of all of that. But sounded reasonable.