Monday, August 26, 2019

The Big Time Central Planner is Gaining in the Polls

This is really bad.

According to the latest Monmouth University Poll, Elizabeth Warren is now tied with Joe Biden at 20% in the early primary states.

 In the national Democratic presidential preference, the poll finds a virtual three-way tie among Bernie Sanders (20%), Warren (20%), and Biden (19%) in the presidential nomination preferences of registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters across the country.

Results for the rest of the field are fairly stable compared to two months ago. These candidates include California Sen. Kamala Harris at 8% support (identical to 8% in June), New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker at 4% (2% in June), South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 4% (5% in June),  Andrew Yang at 3% (2% in June), former cabinet secretary Juli├ín Castro at 2% (<1% in June), former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke at 2% (3% in June), and author Marianne Williamson at 2% (1% in June).

Unfortunately, Tulsi Gabbard polled at only 1%. Her failure to even attempt to find an issue that would resonate with Democrats that would make her stand out is the problem. As I have pointed out at the time of her attack on Kamala Harris, that kind of attack will energize her base but not expand it. While her anti-regime change wars position was attractive to the anti-war crowd, including libertarians, it obviously is far from enough to garner significant votes.

At best, she has become the slimmed-down version of Chris Christie who took out Mario Rubio in the 2016 primary. Gabbard may have taken out Harris. But look where Christie is now. Eating donuts somewhere?


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