Wednesday, January 28, 2015

Is Rand Paul the Frontrunner in the 2016 GOP Primary?

Business Insider, which has been Rand Paul-friendly (and accompanied Rand to Israel) lays out the case:
Sen. Rand Paul (R-Kentucky) thinks Mitt Romney, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R), and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R) might actually help him win the 2016 GOP presidential primary.

And Paul isn't the only one who thinks this trio of high-powered rivals could give him an edge.

In a recent conversation with Business Insider, a close ally of one of the other candidates went so far as to say the current likely composition of the Republican field gives Paul the best shot at a victory.

"Based on where the primary electorate is right now, if there's a frontrunner in this race from an electoral perspective, it's probably Rand Paul," the source said.

The theory behind this is that Romney, Christie, and Bush all are relative moderates and would split the same segment of the vote in a Republican primary. This would leave room for someone like Paul to stand out and score wins in crucial states.


  1. The Religious Right is more jingoistic than ever after the rise of ISIS. They're going to go with the most pompous war hawk. Rand has no chance in that kind of race unless he goes full Neocon.

  2. I trust Ron's judgement on Rand...

  3. As far as Ron's judgment on Rand goes, I think we can all learn a lesson from Captain Picard and Ambassador Sarek.

    "DATA: Sir, it is conceivable, even for me, that time will eventually lead to irreparable circuit failure. But there is one thing I do not understand. Sarek is a logical, intelligent being. The effects of Bendii Syndrome are apparent. Why would such a man choose to ignore them?

    PICARD: Logic fails us sometimes, Data. I think this is one of those times. I can only guess that he does not see, or he does not wish to see, the truth. And he is being insulated against that truth by those who love him most. "

    In other words, perhaps Ron does not want to see the truth about his son and is being insulated against that truth by those who love him most.