tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2890852736639676808.post3810045560685540183..comments2024-07-18T06:59:19.312-04:00Comments on Target Liberty: Hillary Won 6 of 6 Coin Tosses that Broke Clinton-Sanders Deadlocks in IowaRobert Wenzelhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14296920597416905488noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2890852736639676808.post-33874416948695470442016-02-03T15:12:33.887-05:002016-02-03T15:12:33.887-05:00You conflate probability of an event with probabil...You conflate probability of an event with probability of all events averaged over time. Yes, a 6-flip streak happens: once for every 63 time it doesn't occur on average. That makes it very improbable however you want to look at it. Then, when you add that information to what is already known about Clinton and her operatives, it makes the probability of fraud very high.Pandemichttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02315340208949970292noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2890852736639676808.post-5812736056878589562016-02-03T11:38:40.672-05:002016-02-03T11:38:40.672-05:00The country looses either way.The country looses either way.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11672951483117935389noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2890852736639676808.post-57118429094559600192016-02-03T00:15:30.560-05:002016-02-03T00:15:30.560-05:00Yes you are also correct, but given there are only...Yes you are also correct, but given there are only six tosses the significance of that formula seems vanishingly small. In the real world wining and losing streaks happen. In fact reality has little respect for statistical boundaries. It would not be unusual if after 100 or even 1000 coin tosses the average would not equal 1 in 2. And no statistician would be comfortable suggesting something Brian Ericksonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10188778202762603278noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2890852736639676808.post-83155370997078131442016-02-02T21:21:56.570-05:002016-02-02T21:21:56.570-05:00I say it was fraud - and Bernie needs to demand an...I say it was fraud - and Bernie needs to demand answers on how things were handled. Rhalukahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13455098624426041350noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2890852736639676808.post-62151898879669665022016-02-02T21:09:55.406-05:002016-02-02T21:09:55.406-05:00Owned ... someone needs to study stats Owned ... someone needs to study stats Micahhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07583447059340320763noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2890852736639676808.post-43982354332478368062016-02-02T15:40:08.343-05:002016-02-02T15:40:08.343-05:00Clinton winning six straight coin tosses strains c...Clinton winning six straight coin tosses strains credulity. Who flipped the coin? Who was watching? Where's the video? A coin toss in a football game is not done in the tunnel, it's done live at midfield on live TV. Rick Geehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10335382571928115170noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2890852736639676808.post-45597553197104325252016-02-02T14:11:00.358-05:002016-02-02T14:11:00.358-05:00It is unusual if you understand statistics.
The p...It is unusual if you understand statistics.<br /><br />The probability each time is 50%, this is true, but the probability of 6 times in a row is represented by (1/2)^6 = 1^6 / 2^6 = 1/64, that is, a 1 in 64 chance.Robert Wenzelhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14296920597416905488noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2890852736639676808.post-60665845887326233842016-02-02T13:58:26.628-05:002016-02-02T13:58:26.628-05:00A tempest in a tea pot. Anyone who understands sta...A tempest in a tea pot. Anyone who understands statistics understands that each coin toss has the same 50/50 odds of falling on heads or tails. Six winning coin tosses in a row is not unusual and not remotely similar to Hillary's commodities trading performance. Unless of course it was Hillary's coin that was used at every toss. Brian Ericksonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10188778202762603278noreply@blogger.com